News: Gameweek 4 - Premier League - Statistical Analysis

Posted by FlipjeTiel on 2018-08-30.


A slightly different approach for our Statistical Analysis this week. While we are still trying to model the probabilities for the games based on historical data and a Poisson distribution, we will add up all the outcomes and predict a result (Home, Draw or Away). We will make use of 10 years of historical Premier League data (see Gameweek 4 - Premier League - Historical Analysis) and in case teams have never played each other we will take the average number of goals that the teams have scored overall.

Based on this approach we predict the following outcomes. Good luck filling in your own predictions.